A fast-growing tropical storm poses a serious threat to northwestern India and Pakistan:

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     A rising tropical storm on the Arabian Sea is expected to be the strongest cyclone in the Cyncone Tauktae over the weekend and a major catastrophe in parts of India and Pakistan next week.

The storm will be the first tropical storm in the region. A natural disaster like this would not come at a very bad time as India is currently the world center for coronavirus.

     Climate models predict long days now that tropical cyclones are developing along the southwest coast of India. Despite the fluctuations in the details - where it will be formed, how quickly it will strengthen, what will happen and when - unfortunately the models have been unwavering in predicting that this will turn into a severe storm early next week.

Due to favorable conditions, the storm is expected to increase rapidly within 24 hours and is expected to reach a peak of 203 kph (127 mph), according to a Friday morning forecast from the Joint Typhoon Warning Center.

Follow the latest on the storm here :

     The expected durability is due to the almost natural and favorable environmental conditions. Sea temperatures in this area are one of the warmest in the world right now - about 30-32 degrees Celsius (86-90 degrees Fahrenheit). Tropical storms use warm water as fuel and anything above 26.5 degrees Celsius (80 degrees Fahrenheit) is enough to support their growth. In addition, low air conditioning will help storms to make the most of this overheated water. High air conditioning tears up hot systems and limits their growth.

While the most important details of the landscape, time, and durability remain a mystery for now, there is somewhat certainty of the impact on much of the west coast of India over the weekend and Monday.

     As the storm intensifies and begins its journey north, it will be close enough to the coast to bring heavy rain to areas such as Kochi and Mangalore, as far as Mumbai - the financial capital and densely populated city. The amount of rainfall will vary depending on how close the storm approaches as it moves more closely along the coast, but spread rates of 100 to 250 mm (4 to 10 inches) are possible.

As the storm follows north along the west coast of India, the flow of the storm to the south side will push rain down the coast. The rains could bring floods to normal areas as the Indian rainy season continues for a few weeks.

     It looks like this storm will eventually be the equivalent of a major hurricane (Section 3-5 in the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale). A common consensus among forecasting models at the moment is that the highest risk of landslides is from Gujarat in northwestern India to Karachi, Pakistan, between Monday night and Wednesday.

     When a hurricane makes a storm as strong as a hurricane, it will not only bring over 100 mph of winds and torrential rains, but also an incredibly rough sea and a huge hurricane, which is extremely dangerous. On the weekend, when the storm gets better, forecasting models and meteorologists should get a better idea of ​​the direct impacts - time, location and energy.

May is not a rare time to experience tropical storms in the North Indian Ocean :

     This global region has two different periods of tropical cyclone - April to June and October to November. This marks months immediately before and after the monsoon season in southwestern India. During heavy rains, high winds do not encourage storm development.

S.P Overseas News World

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